Select a CNA

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Choose a CNA from the table below

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CNAs forecast

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Organisations with a published forecast

Median MASE

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Across every CNA · lower is better

Best MASE

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The most predictable CNA in the set

Models used

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Distinct models selected across CNAs

All CNAs

Every CVE Numbering Authority with a forecast. Select a row to chart it.

CNA Prior year This year Next year Growth Model

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Model performance overview

Each CNA's model is chosen by rolling-origin backtest and scored in MASE against a naive baseline. A CNA shown with a grey model pill is using that baseline, because nothing beat it — the honest answer for a short or spiky series rather than the least-bad loser.

Model usage distribution